Issue number: 2025003
How does Statistics Canada estimate the number of non-permanent residents? - Video transcript
Onscreen: (A row of boxes representing a week slides on screen with the date : “Monday July 1, 2024” written in it.
The words “3 million non-permanent residents (or NPRs)” appear overlaying a map of Canada.)
As of July 1st 2024, there are about 3 million non-permanent residents (or NPRs) living in Canada.
Onscreen: (The number 2 and the words: “types of non-permanent residents” are shown.)
There are two main types of non-permanent residents.
Onscreen: (The words: “asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups” appear on screen.)
The first group includes asylum claimants, protected persons and related groups.
Onscreen: (The words: “work and/or study permit holders, including their family members” are on screen.)
The second group consists of work and/or study permit holders, including their family members living with them.
Onscreen: (The words: “Visitors are excluded from the non-permanent resident population.” are on screen.)
Visitors are excluded from the non-permanent resident population.
Onscreen: (The words: “Statistics Canada” are on screen.
The words: Non-permanent resident population” are also on screen.
The words: “demographic estimates program” are on screen.)
How does Statistics Canada measure on a quarterly basis the size of the non-permanent resident population, through its demographic estimates program?
Onscreen: (The number “1” appears on screen.
The words: “Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, IRCC” are on screen.
The words: “Statistics Canada” are on screen.
The words: “every month” appear.)
First, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (or IRCC) provides Statistics Canada with administrative files on permit holders and asylum claimants every month.
Onscreen: (The number “2” is on screen.
The word: “Data” is on screen and transforms into hearts.
The hearts transform into the acronym: “NPRs”
The words: “Not double-counted is on screen”.)
Second, data is processed with great care. For example, we ensure that NPRs who have become permanent residents or hold multiple permits are not double-counted (or no double counts).
Onscreen: (The words: “Statistics Canada” are on screen next to a map of Canada.)
Since Statistics Canada's goal is to measure the size of the population, it's important that these individuals are counted only once.
Onscreen: (Boxes with the words: “IRCC tables” and “Statistics Canada” appear on each side of the screen.)
To validate this process, we reproduce IRCC tables to ensure we start with the correct data.
Onscreen: (The number “3” is on screen.
The words: “Demographic adjustments” appear on screen.)
Third, we apply demographic adjustments to IRCC data, using estimates from other sources, always with the aim of estimating the size of the Canadian population.
Onscreen: (Family tree with the words “family members of permit holders” appear at the bottom.
The words: “Census Data” appear.
The words: “account for individuals whose permits are being renewed” slide on screen.)
For example, we calculate estimates of the family members of permit holders who do not have work or study permits themselves by using census data. We also account for individuals whose permits are being renewed, based on IRCC's published permit processing times.
Onscreen: (The words: “Methods for demographic estimates” are on screen.
The words: “continuously updated” are written just below.
Below that, the words: “Timely, relevant” and “accurate” slide into view.)
Methods for demographic estimates are continuously updated to ensure they remain timely, relevant, and as accurate as possible, even during unexpected events like a pandemic or international conflict.
Onscreen: (The words: “shared and discussed” appear on screen while text bubbles pop in the background.
The words: “statistical focal points in each province and territory” appear inside of a text bubble.)
These methods are also shared and discussed annually with key partners in the program, including the statistical focal points in each province and territory.
Onscreen: (The words: “very high quality” appear on screen.
The word: “Quality” is kept on screen while the words: “benchmarked with each five-year census cycle” appear below it.)
Statistics Canada's demographic estimates and numbers on the size of the non-permanent resident's population are of very high quality, and this quality is monitored and benchmarked with each five-year census cycle.
Onscreen: (Words on screen: “For more information on Statistics Canada’s demographic estimates program and non-permanent resident data, please explore the links in the description below”.)
For more information on Statistics Canada's demographic estimates program and non-permanent resident data, please explore the links in the description below.
(The Canada wordmark is on screen.)
ISBN: 978-0-660-75903-6